Abstract

Purpose: This study critically examines the pathways leading to religious radicalization and evaluates prevention frameworks through a quantitative lens. Despite decades of research, the mechanisms driving radicalization remain complex and multifactorial, spanning individual psychological predispositions, social networks, and structural factors. Understanding these pathways is crucial for designing effective, evidence-based prevention strategies.

Design/Methodology: A quantitative approach was employed, utilizing mathematical modeling and statistical analysis to explore the progression from ideological exposure to extremist action. Data were derived from existing empirical studies and meta-analyses, enabling pathway mapping and identification of high-risk factors. Key variables included exposure intensity, cognitive susceptibility, social network influence, and intervention timing. Well-labeled tables summarize the results of hypothetical simulations, illustrating critical points of radicalization escalation and potential mitigation impact.

Findings: Analysis revealed distinct stages in radicalization: initial ideological engagement, social reinforcement, cognitive consolidation, and eventual behavioral extremism. Social network density and digital exposure significantly amplified radicalization likelihood. Prevention frameworks integrating early detection, community engagement, and cognitive interventions demonstrated measurable reductions in modeled radicalization trajectories.

Originality/Value: This paper combines mathematical modeling with empirical literature to provide a quantifiable understanding of religious radicalization pathways. By critically evaluating prevention frameworks within these pathways, the study identifies leverage points for policy and intervention, bridging the gap between theoretical models and practical application.